| Draft
Special Publication 800-01: The Silverman Scale:
Failure Assessment in Project Management
October 2nd 2006 - SWF announces the release of draft Special Publication
(SP) 800-01, The Silverman Scale: Failure Assessment in Project
Management. SP 800-01 seeks to assist
information technology (IT) consultants in understanding failure and
in measuring its scope in a project involving government agencies but
most of the information in the publication is also applicable to large
inefficient and bureaucratic organizations. It provides practical,
real-world guidance for each of 11 levels of failure.
SWF requests comments
on SP 800-01, including real stories showcasing one or many of the
failure level presented in the document. Please e-mail at steve at
success with failure dot com.
Foreword
Recent
projects have shown me different types of customers, all humans
in appearance
but very different once
you isolate them in lab-controlled
idea-free environment such as a windowless meeting room. Some projects
have sane people on board and will likely succeed (those are
extremely rare according to the literature), and some other projects
are
lead by delusional fruitcakes and everyone is
on a
straight
road to hell (with no exit in sight).
But
how
to
you assess
failure
in project
management?
Is
there any scientific way to measure bozosity? When we say "This
guy is a complete bozo", we imply that partial bozosity is possible.
Can we do a correlation between stupidity and technology? Gartner
Group
doesn't
have any magic quadrant to evaluate failure, but we all know when
we are
in
the presence
of "it".
Our
instincts
tell us something smells fishy but we cannot associate a value with
it. So, in the absence of best (or fancy) practices when it comes
to the subject of failure,
here is
an
attempt
to rate
the thing
on
a scientific scale.
The
Silverman Scale: Assessing
Failure Hazard In Projects Involving Government Departments and
Large Organizations
|
0 |
The customer behaves normally, fully understands
the scope of work of the project and proceeds timely within a
logic framework. People working on the project are having a good
time.
The likelihood of a project failure is zero, or is so low as to
be effectively zero. If a problem happens the consultants will
be happy to correct the situation at their own expense. |
Normal
(Green Zone) |
1 |
The
customer behaves slightly oddly, chats occasionally about irrelevant
matters during meetings but maintains a logical course of action
within the project.
Project management consultants estimate that the chance of failure
is extremely unlikely with no cause for high-management attention.
Minor quirks may be discussed occasionally, but no significant
risks are on the horizon. |
Meriting
Attention by Project Management (Yellow Zone) |
2 |
The
customer acts in a bizarre fashion that puzzles consultants,
confuses goals and technologies from multiple projects and
spends a inordinate
amount of time defining a glossary for the project.
While meriting attention by the consulting firm project manager,
a project failure is very unlikely. A more thorough follow-up must
be made to ensure that the project is on track. |
3 |
The
customer appears out of place in the project, has difficulty
understanding basic concepts and has strong opinions about non-related
topics. Micro-management is prevalent, most communications are
handled through gossips.
Risks concerning
the project are being discussed by the consulting firm on a
regular basis. Chance of total failure is unlikely but
possible if the project spins out of control. |
4 |
The
customer is unaware of any past decisions in the organization
including his owns, keeps redefining scope of work to meet his
personal agenda du jour and could not care less about deadlines.
The project is now a failure candidate meriting attention by the
consulting firm high management. An iron-fist project manager is
required to prevent further degradation. |
Threatening
(Orange Zone) |
5 |
The
customer acts like in total illogical ways, makes actions which
seriously jeopardize the project outcome and blames consulting
firm for every problem including those within the customer’s
organization.
The customer poses a serious, but still uncertain threat of project
failure. Critical attention by consulting firm is needed to determine
conclusively whether or not a major failure will occur. However,
the consulting firm is sure to lose money on this project. |
6 |
The
customer behaves like a complete lunatic, erupts violently
during meetings in theatrical manners and makes personal attacks
to
anyone challenging his viewpoint. Inanimate objects such
as white boards and doors are at risk.
Mismanagement
poses an unprecedented but still uncertain threat of a total
failure. Critical attention by project management
is needed to determine conclusively the scope of failure.
The project
is a financial black hole at this point, consultants won’t
have any bonus this year. |
7 |
The
customer works relentlessly so his project fails. The project
may be split between different consulting firms to make a diversion,
the customer intently fueling internal wars just to have a
good time. Budget overruns now top $5 million and the project
gets
noticed by the Auditor General which makes negative comments
in its yearly review .
A major project failure is very likely. For such a threat, contingency
planning is warranted, especially to determine urgently and conclusively
whether or not a company-wide financial mess will occur. |
Certain
Failure (Red Zone) |
8 |
The
customer has completely lost grip on the project and himself,
internal feuds are derailing any attempts to salvage the project
whose cost hovers between $10-50 million. Sustained efforts are
made by all parties to find a scapegoat. Failure is unavoidable
at this point. News of the project reaches other organizations
and the Auditor General makes acid comments on the project in
its yearly review .
The consulting firm’s public stock sinks due to lower
revenues. Significant turnover, increased burnout rate and
difficulty to
recruit new talents are caused by the project failure. |
9 |
The
project is being labelled as a major failure, with unprecedented
cost between $50-100 million. The project is on the front-page
of newspapers as one big screw-up. The head of the customer
organization is likely to resign as part of the damage control
strategy.
The financial mess and bad publicity is so overwhelming that
the consulting firm’s local business unit closes its
doors. |
10 |
The
project is a complete and total failure at this point, its cost
has skyrocketed way over $100 million. Labelled as a catastrophic
blunder, the project has become a major liability to the current
administration.
The opposition party uses the project’s name as a flagship
to emphasize the deep failure within the governing party during
the upcoming election.
The entire consulting firm bleeds red ink and files for Chapter
11.
The project morphs into a new name after the next election
and maintains course with a new increased budget. |
Success
with Failure © 2006
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